понедельник, 4 июня 2018 г.

Earn forex pivot


Using Pivot Points In Forex Trading.


Trading requires reference points (support and resistance), which are used to determine when to enter the market, place stops and take profits. However, many beginning traders divert too much attention to technical indicators such as moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and relative strength index (RSI) (to name a few) and fail to identify a point that defines risk. Unknown risk can lead to margin calls, but calculated risk significantly improves the odds of success over the long haul.


One tool that actually provides potential support and resistance and helps minimize risk is the pivot point and its derivatives. In this article, we'll argue why a combination of pivot points and traditional technical tools is far more powerful than technical tools alone and show how this combination can be used effectively in the FX market.


Pivot Points 101.


The pivot point can then be used to calculate estimated support and resistance for the current trading day.


Support 1 = (2 x Pivot Point) – High (previous period)


Resistance 2 = (Pivot Point – Support 1) + Resistance 1.


Resistance 3 = (Pivot Point – Support 2) + Resistance 2.


To get a full understanding of how well pivot points can work, compile statistics for the EUR/USD on how distant each high and low has been from each calculated resistance (R1, R2, R3) and support level (S1, S2, S3).


To do the calculation yourself:


Calculate the pivot points, support levels and resistance levels for x number of days. Subtract the support pivot points from the actual low of the day (Low – S1, Low – S2, Low – S3). Subtract the resistance pivot points from the actual high of the day (High – R1, High – R2, High – R3). Calculate the average for each difference.


The results since the inception of the euro (January 1, 1999, with the first trading day on January 4, 1999):


The actual low is, on average, 1 pip below Support 1 The actual high is, on average, 1 pip below Resistance 1.


Going a step farther, we calculated the number of days that the low was lower than each S1, S2 and S3 and the number of days that the high was higher than the each R1, R2 and R3.


The result: there have been 2,026 trading days since the inception of the euro as of October 12, 2006.


The actual low has been lower than S1 892 times, or 44% of the time The actual high has been higher than R1 853 times, or 42% of the time.


This information is useful to a trader; if you know that the pair slips below S1 44% of the time, you can place a stop below S1 with confidence, understanding that probability is on your side. Additionally, you may want to take profits just below R1 because you know that the high for the day exceeds R1 only 42% of the time. Again, the probabilities are with you.


It is important to understand, however, that theses are probabilities and not certainties. On average, the high is 1 pip below R1 and exceeds R1 42% of the time. This neither means that the high will exceed R1 four days out of the next 10, nor that the high is always going to be 1 pip below R1. The power in this information lies in the fact that you can confidently gauge potential support and resistance ahead of time, have reference points to place stops and limits and, most importantly, limit risk while putting yourself in a position to profit.


Using the Information.


RSI Divergence at Pivot Resistance/Support.


This is typically a high reward-to-risk trade. The risk is well-defined due to the recent high (or low for a buy).The pivot points in the above examples are calculated using weekly data. The above example shows that from August 16 to 17, R1 held as solid resistance (first circle) at 1.2854 and the RSI divergence suggested that the upside was limited. This suggests that there is an opportunity to go short on a break below R1 with a stop at the recent high and a limit at the pivot point, which is now a support:


Sell Short at 1.2853. Stop at the recent high at 1.2885. Limit at the pivot point at 1.2784.


This first trade netted a 69 pip profit with 32 pips of risk. The reward to risk ratio was 2.16.


The next week produced nearly the exact same setup. The week began with a rally to and just above R1 at 1.2908, which was also accompanied by bearish divergence. The short signal is generated on the decline back below R1 at which point we can sell short with a stop at the recent high and a limit at the pivot point (which is now support):


Sell short at 1.2907. Stop at the recent high at 1.2939. Limit at the pivot point at 1.2802.


This trade netted a 105 pip profit with just 32 pips of risk. The reward to risk ratio was 3.28.


The rules for the setup are simple:


1. Identify bearish divergence at the pivot point, either R1, R2 or R3 (most common at R1).


2. When price declines back below the reference point (it could be the pivot point, R1, R2, R3), initiate a short position with a stop at the recent swing high.


3. Place a limit (take profit) order at the next level. If you sold at R2, your first target would be R1. In this case, former resistance becomes support and vice versa.


1. Identify bullish divergence at the pivot point, either S1, S2 or S3 (most common at S1).


2. When price rallies back above the reference point (it could be the pivot point, S1, S2, S3), initiate a long position with a stop at the recent swing low.


3. Place a limit (take profit) order at the next level (if you bought at S2, your first target would be S1 … former support becomes resistance and vice versa).


Pivot Points Calculator.


The presented pivot points calculator will generate pivot points in four different systems for you in seconds! Just fill the form below with the previous period's data and press the "Calculate" button:


Pivot Point Calculator Rules.


Pivot (P) = (H + L + C) / 3.


The floor pivot points , presented in the first column of the calculation results table, are the most basic and popular type of pivots used in Forex trading technical analysis. The pivot point is interpreted as the primary support/resistance level — the point at which the main trend will be born. First-third level resistance and support points serve as additional indicators of possible trend reversal or continuation. The formula to calculate floor pivot points are quite simple.


Tom DeMark's.


If Close < Open Then X = H + 2 × L + C.


If Close > Open Then X = 2 × H + L + C.


If Close = Open Then X = H + L + 2 × C.


New High = X / 2 − L.


New Low = X / 2 − H.


Other popular method of calculating the pivots to forecast the future of the trend is Tom DeMark's pivot points , which are not pivot points exactly, but are the predicted lows and highs of the period. To calculate DeMark's pivot points follow the rules displayed on the right.


Pivot (P) = (H + L + 2 × C) / 4.


Woodie's pivot points are similar to floor pivot points, but are calculated in a somewhat different way, giving more weight to the Close price of the previous period. To calculate Woodie's pivot points, the presented pivot point calculator uses the rules presented to the right.


Camarilla pivot points are a set of eight very probable levels which resemble support and resistance values for a current trend. The origin and the precise way to calculate these pivot points are unclear. The most important is that these pivot points work for all traders and help in setting the right stop-loss and take-profit orders. The given rules are used to calculate Camarilla pivot points.


You can find a history of the Camarilla pivot points method and some interesting examples of its usage in a short e-book entitled Camarilla Levels.


You might also be interested in our Fibonacci calculator. It will help you to calculate the retracement levels of the completed trend waves. The resulting levels can then be used in combination with pivots generated by this calculator to fine-tune your entry and exit levels.


Earn forex pivot points. The forex day trader can use daily data to calculate pivot points and support and resistance for the upcoming trading day. Weekly, swing forex currency traders can use weekly data to Pivot Strategies: a Handy Tool for Forex Traders. Make more educated trading decisions by identifying major turning points. Trading.


Mastering Pivot Points in Forex.


Earn forex pivot points. The forex day trader can use daily data to calculate pivot points and support and resistance for the upcoming trading day. Weekly, swing forex currency traders can use weekly data to Pivot Strategies: a Handy Tool for Forex Traders. Make more educated trading decisions by identifying major turning points. Trading.


Forex traders use a wide range of technical indicators to guide their trading decisions. Pivot points are a useful indicator for identifying support and resistance levels or impending trend reversals, which can increase traders' probability of making trades in the right direction. Understanding how pivot points work and how to use them to add confirmation to your trading setups is vital to using this indicator to generate consistent gains in currency trading.


A pivot point signals the end of a short-, medium - or long-term trend and the beginning of either a trend reversal or a temporary pullback in price. The technical definition of a pivot point is a price close that is higher than the two previous and two subsequent price closes in the case of an upper pivot, or lower than the same in the case of a lower pivot. Pivots can be drawn by charting platforms in different ways. Most pivot indicators differentiate between major and minor pivots drawn on the chart, and pivot points change depending on the timeframe in which a chart is drawn.


If you do not wish to use a visual indicator in your charting platform, you can obtain tables of recent pivots for all pairs from a number of forex news outlets. Understanding the market psychology behind pivot points is a key to using pivots to make consistent gains. At a pivot high, many traders have bought into an uptrend, likely at an oversold level, only to see the pair drop sharply in price immediately after. Psychologically, many of these buyers are anxiously waiting for the price to come back to the level at which they bought so that they can get out at a break-even point.


When price reaches their break-even point, those buyers sell en masse, increasing supply and driving the price back down at that point.


Because of this, previous pivot points can serve as good indicators of future price movements. The psychology behind pivot highs and lows creates a self-fulfilling prophecy. As traders make decisions based on the expectation that pivot points lead to reversals, their trading actions reinforce the phenomenon even further. To take advantage of this, use pivot points to identify high probability points of major and minor support and resistance. Analyze the previous three to five major pivot points on a chart to look for likely support and resistance zones, and then use these zones to inform your trading decisions.


When price reaches a likely support or resistance area, the likelihood of price reversing can increase. Use this knowledge in tandem with other indicators, chart patterns and the overall trend to consistently make gains with your trades over time. Analyze pivots at higher timeframes to confirm trends and identify bigger-picture support and resistance areas.


Analyze pivots at lower timeframes to time your entries and exits. If you find yourself in a strong uptrend on a five-minute chart, for example, look at pivots on a minute and one-hour chart to see if you are approaching a support or resistance zone in those timeframes. If the price is approaching a major pivot high on a one-hour chart, as another example, look to a or five-minute chart to enter your bearish trade when both timeframes have hit upper support.


David Ingram has written for multiple publications since , including "The Houston Chronicle" and online at Business. As a small-business owner, Ingram regularly confronts modern issues in management, marketing, finance and business law. He has earned a Bachelor of Arts in management from Walsh University. At the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors.


This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system.


These returns cover a period from and were examined and attested by Baker Tilly, an independent accounting firm. Visit performance for information about the performance numbers displayed above. Skip to main content. Understand Pivot Point Basics A pivot point signals the end of a short-, medium - or long-term trend and the beginning of either a trend reversal or a temporary pullback in price. Leverage Pivot Psychology Understanding the market psychology behind pivot points is a key to using pivots to make consistent gains.


Establish Support and Resistance The psychology behind pivot highs and lows creates a self-fulfilling prophecy. Analyze Multiple Timeframes Analyze pivots at higher timeframes to confirm trends and identify bigger-picture support and resistance areas.


Pivot Points Classic BabyPips: About the Author David Ingram has written for multiple publications since , including "The Houston Chronicle" and online at Business. Zacks Research is Reported On:


Pivot Strategies: a Handy Tool for Forex Traders.


For many years, traders and market makers have used pivot points to determine critical support and/or resistance levels. Pivots are also very popular in the forex market and can be an extremely useful tool for range-bound traders to identify points of entry and for trend traders and breakout traders to spot the key levels that need to be broken for a move to qualify as a breakout. In this article, we'll explain how pivot points are calculated, how they can be applied to the FX market, and how they can be combined with other indicators to develop other trading strategies.


Calculating Pivot Points.


By definition, a pivot point is a point of rotation. The prices used to calculate the pivot point are the previous period's high, low and closing prices for a security. These prices are usually taken from a stock's daily charts, but the pivot point can also be calculated using information from hourly charts. Most traders prefer to take the pivots, as well as the support and resistance levels, off of the daily charts and then apply those to the intraday charts (for example, hourly, every 30 minutes or every 15 minutes). If a pivot point is calculated using price information from a shorter time frame, this tends to reduce its accuracy and significance.


The textbook calculation for a pivot point is as follows:


Central Pivot Point (P) = (High + Low + Close) / 3.


Support and resistance levels are then calculated off of this pivot point using the following formulas:


First level support and resistance:


First Resistance (R1) = (2*P) - Low.


First Support (S1) = (2*P) - High.


Likewise, the second level of support and resistance is calculated as follows:


Second Resistance (R2) = P + (R1-S1)


Second Support (S2) = P - (R1- S1)


Calculating two support and resistance levels is common practice, but it's not unusual to derive a third support and resistance level as well. (However, third-level support and resistances are a bit too esoteric to be useful for the purposes of trading strategies.) It's also possible to delve deeper into pivot point analysis – for example, some traders go beyond the traditional support and resistance levels and also track the mid-point between each of those levels.


Applying Pivot Points to the FX Market.


Generally speaking, the pivot point is seen as the primary support or resistance level. The following chart is a 30-minute chart of the currency pair GBP/USD with pivot levels calculated using the daily high, low and close prices.


The open. There are three market opens in the FX market: the U. S. open, which occurs at approximately 8a. m. EDT, the European open, which occurs at 2a. m. EDT, and the Asian open which occurs at 7p. m. EDT.


Figure 1 - This chart shows a common day in the FX market. The price of a major currency pair (GBP/USD) tends to fluctuate between the support and resistance levels identified by the pivot point calculation. The areas circled in the chart are good illustrations of the importance of a break above these levels.


What we also see when trading pivots in the FX market is that the trading range for the session usually occurs between the pivot point and the first support and resistance levels because a multitude of traders play this range. Take a look at Figure 2, a chart of the currency pair USD/JPY. As you can see in the areas circled, prices initially stayed within the pivot point and the first resistance level with the pivot acting as support. Once the pivot was broken, prices moved lower and stayed predominately within the pivot and the first support zone.


Figure 2 - This chart shows an example of the strength of the support and resistance calculated using the pivot calculations.


The Significance of Market Opens.


One of the key points to understand when trading pivot points in the FX market is that breaks tend to occur around one of the market opens. The reason for this is the immediate influx of traders entering the market at the same time. These traders go into the office, take a look at how prices traded overnight and what data was released and then adjust their portfolios accordingly. During the quieter time periods, such as between the U. S. close (4p. m. EDT) and the Asian open (7p. m. EDT) (and sometimes even throughout the Asian session, which is the quietest trading session), prices may remain confined for hours between the pivot level and either the support or resistance level. This provides the perfect environment for range-bound traders.


Two Strategies Using Pivot Points.


Many strategies can be developed using the pivot level as a base, but the accuracy of using pivot lines increases when Japanese candlestick formations can also be identified. For example, if prices traded below the central pivot (P) for most of the session and then made a foray above the pivot while simultaneously creating a reversal formation (such as a shooting star, doji or hanging man), you could sell short in anticipation of the price resuming trading back below the pivot point.


A perfect example of this is shown in Figure 3, a 30-minute USD/CHF chart. USD/CHF had remained range-bound between the first support zone and the pivot level for most of the Asian trading session. When Europe joined the market, traders began taking USD/CHF higher to break above the central pivot. Bulls lost control as the second candle became a doji formation. Prices then began to reverse back below the central pivot to spend the next six hours between the central pivot and the first support zone. Traders watching for this formation could have sold USD/CHF in the candle right after the doji formation to take advantage of at least 80 pips worth of profit between the pivot point and the first level of support.


Figure 3 - This chart shows a pivot point being used in cooperation with a candlestick pattern to predict a trend reversal. Notice how the descent was stopped by the second support level.


Another strategy traders can use is to look for prices to obey the pivot level, therefore validating the level as a solid support or resistance zone. In this type of strategy, you're looking to see the price break the pivot level, reverse and then trend back towards the pivot level. If the price proceeds to drive through the pivot point, this is an indication that the pivot level is not very strong and is therefore less useful as a trading signal. However, if prices hesitate around that level or "validate" it, then the pivot level is much more significant and suggests that the move lower is an actual break, which indicates that there may be a continuation move.


The 15-minute GBP/CHF chart in Figure 4 shows an example of prices "obeying" the pivot line. For the most part, prices were first confined within the mid-point and pivot level. At the European open (2a. m. EDT), GBP/CHF rallied and broke above the pivot level. Prices then retraced back to pivot level, held it and proceeded to rally once again. The level was tested once more right before the U. S. market open (7a. m. EDT), at which point traders should have placed a buy order for GBP/CHF since the pivot level had already proved to be a significant support level. For those traders who did do that, GBP/CHF bounced off the level and rallied once again.


Figure 4 - This is an example of a currency pair "obeying" the support and resistance identified by the pivot point calculation. These levels become more significant the more times the pair tries to break through.


The Bottom Line.


Traders and market makers have been using pivot points for years to determine critical support and/or resistance levels. As the charts above have shown, pivots can be especially popular in the FX market since many currency pairs do tend to fluctuate between these levels. Range-bound traders will enter a buy order near identified levels of support and a sell order when the asset nears the upper resistance. Pivot points also enable trend and breakout traders to spot key levels that need to be broken for a move to qualify as a breakout. Furthermore, these technical indicators can be very useful at market opens.


Having an awareness of where these potential turning points are located is an excellent way for individual investors to become more attuned to market movements and make more educated transaction decisions. Given their ease of calculation, pivot points can also be incorporated into many trading strategies. The flexibility and relative simplicity of pivot points definitely make them a useful addition to your trading toolbox.

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